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Shrimp
Trends and Predictions
• Aquaculture percentage of supply is increasing; may reach 50% of total world catch in 2000.
• Farm-raised Black Tiger will retain its luster as the most important commercial species.
• Cultivation in Asia will increase while that for Latin America will decrease. Production from the Eastern Hemisphere will continue to supply the bulk of world demand.
• Thailand will keep its position of top exporter for processed products. However, Vietnam or China may give Thailand competition as top producer of raw material.
• With consumption on the increase in the US and supply down because of diseases and environmental issues, demand is likely to exceed supply for some time.
• Shrimp prices show an upward trend which may be sustained by ongoing short supply.
• 
Value-added products are likely to gain more importance.
• 
Frozen shrimp will remain the top export item with Asia possibly demanding more. .
Tuna

Trends and Predictions
• 
The industry is in a slump with supply exceeding demand.
• Increased catches in the Eastern Pacific, large inventories of canned product and flat consumption growth in major markets are all driving raw material and finished product prices down.
• Skipjack prices reached unprecendented lows.The first half of 2000 saw slight increases but it is not clear when the market will recover.
• Sales of canned tuna have not increased dramatically inspite of efforts to promote the product in major consuming markets.
• Manufacturing is driven by fewer players.Thailand is facing competition from the Philippines and Indonesia.
• There are indications of a gradual shift to value-added products.
• The foodservice sector appears to be gaining added importance while retail markets remain stable.

 

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